Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 4.190026 4.985614 5.870322 6.924084 8.141862 9.501720 11.131825
2025-09-21 3.028950 4.046451 5.293782 6.922997 8.981034 11.479317 14.724706
2025-09-28 2.308919 3.400572 4.851729 6.894836 9.665153 13.254393 18.213019
2025-10-05 1.970939 3.149044 4.823382 7.328511 10.922512 15.822867 22.922811
2025-10-12 1.666610 2.867735 4.680770 7.543892 11.859406 18.008780 27.287817
2025-10-19 1.456360 2.679263 4.627218 7.853340 12.929534 20.442541 32.178568
2025-10-26 1.230095 2.416316 4.407228 7.858552 13.515023 22.190418 36.185928
2025-11-02 1.002923 2.104702 4.053034 7.586304 13.612171 23.177877 39.093828
2025-11-09 0.823021 1.841991 3.737007 7.324559 13.677058 24.091055 41.921976
2025-11-16 0.712363 1.690363 3.593637 7.337546 14.190169 25.744799 46.027231
2025-11-23 0.620414 1.558210 3.464780 7.354698 14.700914 27.419131 50.267732
2025-11-30 0.534356 1.420966 3.303795 7.286425 15.041809 28.817367 54.126211
2025-12-07 0.435576 1.235806 3.020537 6.950296 14.865690 29.325742 56.547256
2025-12-14 0.376834 1.133476 2.896543 6.918965 15.264632 30.887810 60.925372
2025-12-21 0.326447 1.040614 2.778058 6.881813 15.643866 32.436260 65.378795
2025-12-28 0.311791 1.039794 2.870840 7.311920 17.003031 35.908346 73.561925
2026-01-04 0.285706 1.001262 2.867548 7.525996 17.932501 38.622495 80.501261
2026-01-11 0.267120 0.980389 2.904214 7.834524 19.086241 41.845241 88.588660
2026-01-18 0.236246 0.914722 2.816671 7.839644 19.583774 43.804372 94.370741
2026-01-25 0.198194 0.815928 2.625190 7.567954 19.441766 44.464030 97.659188
2026-02-01 0.166311 0.728355 2.448181 7.306763 19.292955 45.089849 100.905778
2026-02-08 0.147887 0.682917 2.382086 7.319720 19.774890 47.054896 106.946433
2026-02-15 0.131797 0.641520 2.320709 7.336834 20.266440 49.069411 113.198649